Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.001647 0.001829 0.002012 0.002209 0.002415 0.002624 0.002852
2025-01-19 0.001333 0.001592 0.001861 0.002160 0.002481 0.002814 0.003184
2025-01-26 0.001111 0.001427 0.001767 0.002154 0.002578 0.003026 0.003532
2025-02-02 0.000926 0.001284 0.001681 0.002144 0.002663 0.003220 0.003857
2025-02-09 0.000835 0.001237 0.001694 0.002240 0.002860 0.003533 0.004310
2025-02-16 0.000710 0.001138 0.001640 0.002251 0.002957 0.003733 0.004637
2025-02-23 0.000560 0.000992 0.001519 0.002176 0.002950 0.003811 0.004826
2025-03-02 0.000437 0.000867 0.001413 0.002111 0.002947 0.003890 0.005011
2025-03-09 0.000338 0.000761 0.001322 0.002058 0.002953 0.003973 0.005197
2025-03-16 0.000266 0.000682 0.001259 0.002033 0.002988 0.004088 0.005417
2025-03-23 0.000236 0.000665 0.001275 0.002104 0.003138 0.004334 0.005785
2025-03-30 0.000203 0.000636 0.001272 0.002150 0.003255 0.004541 0.006108
2025-04-06 0.000157 0.000591 0.001261 0.002208 0.003414 0.004832 0.006569
2025-04-13 0.000093 0.000495 0.001170 0.002160 0.003444 0.004972 0.006860
2025-04-20 0.000053 0.000427 0.001114 0.002153 0.003525 0.005175 0.007227
2025-04-27 0.000024 0.000364 0.001058 0.002144 0.003602 0.005370 0.007586
2025-05-04 0.000014 0.000349 0.001078 0.002239 0.003812 0.005730 0.008141
2025-05-11 0.000003 0.000303 0.001041 0.002250 0.003912 0.005954 0.008535
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000234 0.000948 0.002176 0.003897 0.006035 0.008755
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000176 0.000867 0.002111 0.003889 0.006122 0.008982
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000131 0.000797 0.002057 0.003894 0.006222 0.009222
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000099 0.000748 0.002033 0.003934 0.006365 0.009513
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000092 0.000759 0.002104 0.004107 0.006675 0.010006